Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Crown Green Handicap

Keith Bailey

Team: Pensby CDivision: League 3Last updated: 9/29/2026

Rating

478

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

100

Matches Played

29

Wins

71

Losses

29%

Win Rate

6.3

Avg Win Margin

9.4

Avg Loss Margin

13-27

Home Record

16-44

Away Record

Milestones

Career

Decade Player

10 seasons

Next goal: Veteran10/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 100 matches

+15 Rising
12 Jun10 Aug19 Jul2 Aug12 Aug4 Aug18 May21 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
29%
score-0.42→contribution-0.17
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.3
score-0.29→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.4
score-0.24→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
745
score-0.76→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.402
Sample Size Confidence
100%(100/75 matches)
Rating799 → shrunk 799→ adjusted 349
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)419
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Blended Rating373
Handicap15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 75), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).

League

29W71L100 matches·29% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2016–2025League 346143230.4%
Pensby2021–2025League 2, League 334102429.4%
Pensby C2026League 32051525%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Stephen CorriganH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Bob JenkinsA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Jeremy BradshawA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Gayle Formston-wrightA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026Pat McloughlinH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/10/2026Julie MccreadieA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026Bill AtkinsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Andy PritchardH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Luke RoweA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Robert BibbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Ray HartleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Harry MillingtonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Stephen WheeldonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Hayley JonesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Kevin SmithH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/15/2026Kevin SmithA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/8/2026Eileen HumeA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Paul McdonnellH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Derek MacDonaldA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Allan ClarkeH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Sam WilliamsA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Babs WoodwardA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Luke RoweA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Andrew MeldrumA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2024Tom FrancomsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Steve PrestonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Tony ThelwellA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2023Rob OllerheadA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2023vs Gladstone BH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2023John KayllH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2023Joe BrettA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
6/23/2023vs Upton Victory Hall BH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
6/16/2023Ron AstleA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2023vs Hoylake Central & Melrose BA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Dave FinlayA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/2/2023John MountfordA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023Brian CowanA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2023Margie RatcliffA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/26/2022vs Albany BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2022Graham RobinsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022Bill ClaytonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2022Ken WinterH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Eddie ThomasA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Jim IvanoffH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Allan ClarkeA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Paul KyffinH21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2022Kevin TurnerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Albany BA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2022Donald HillA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Mike PillingH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022Steve PrestonA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Roy CookeA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2021vs PoultonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021Alan SuttonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2021Phil WynneA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/9/2021Joan LawrenceA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Tim WatkinsH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2021Derek CarrollH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2021Ian HawesH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/30/2019Peter RattrayA0-21LOSS-21LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2019Ken AshleyA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019Keith GentleA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Gordon DitchfieldH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2019John LeaityA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2019Jim IvanoffA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2019Richard NorburyH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Stephen PrestonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2019Kevin OwensA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2019Colin TurnerH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2019John GladwinA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Margaret ProwseH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2019Graham RobinsonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2019Lee AbbottA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2019Craig EdwardsH1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2019vs Port Sunlight Village & Works BA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Josephine CarrA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Ritchie NorburyH3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Chris WentworthH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Dave EdwardsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/20/2018Dave EastA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018Aaron WilliamsH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2018Peter RattrayH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Kevin OwensA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Brenda BoultonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/4/2018Bill ClaytonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Lorna FosterA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2017Ray PriceA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2017Dereck SnedkerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Cathy DohertyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Margaret LewisA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2017Robbie RossH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Joan GoudieA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Peter McgheeA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2016Nigel LoweA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Eric PercivalA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Chris WentworthH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Abaigael KearneyA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2016Dave FinlayH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Mark MasonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2016Paul BentleyA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKeith BennettPoulton17-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round* Dave McdermottTixall20-21LOSSWON
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundChris BlackburnBromborough Pool21-5WINWON
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge RobertsNew Brighton Quarry Vikings D18-21LOSSWON
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTony LakeBromborough Recs7-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundWalk OverGreat Meols21-0WINLOST
Graham White Cup2 games · 1W
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPhil WynneHoylake Central B21-20WINLOST
Round of 32 RoundJohn RogersTixall B0-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

10losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 100% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Luke Rowe0220%6/19/2026
Kevin Smith11250%5/18/2026
Allan Clarke0220%4/20/2026
Steve Preston202100%4/26/2024
Dave Finlay202100%6/9/2023
Albany B0220%8/26/2022
Graham Robinson0220%8/12/2022
Bill Clayton0220%8/5/2022
Jim Ivanoff11250%7/15/2022
Peter Rattray0220%8/30/2019
Biggest Win
Paul Kyffin (+19)6/24/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Rattray (-21)8/30/2019
Best Season
201931% · 16 matches
Worst Season
20238% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
34% → 24%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71489 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
25-6229% win rate

By Division

League 328-61 (31%)
League 21-10 (9%)
League 29.1%
1W·10L·11 played
League 331.5%
28W·61L·89 played

Debut

Apr 29, 2016

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

10 (10.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (100 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019202120222023202420252026